Just Sold: 126 Avenida San Dimas - $695,000

Newly Listed Beach House in San Clemente! Property features 3 large bedrooms with 2 baths and bonus office room in garage! Over 1500+ square feet of living space and ideally located next to golf course and easy walk to World Class Trestles surfing beach! Property is currently listed for $695,000 by Sam Smith. Here is a brief description on the propety "Great Value In San Clemente. Large 3 Bedroom Home With Ocean & Golf Course View Deck! Easily Walk To Trestles Beach & State Park & San Clemente Golf Course Is Within Steps Of The Property! Home Features Newer Windows, Roof, Wood Flooring & Closet Organizers. Property Is Completely Fenced In For Dogs & Kids to Play! The Property Has Lots Of Natural Light and The Rooms Flow From One Room To The Next. Bonus Office Room Set Up In The Garage. Interested in seeing this property? Contact Sam Smith at 949-291-0424 or sam@bclh.com

31 Campanilla: Sea Pointe Estates Murder Mystery

SAN CLEMENTE, Calif. -- Sea Pointe Estates. As reported by KNBC, An investigation continued Monday into the deaths of five adult family members whose bodies were found in a home in a San Clemente gated community, authorities said. Click here to see Video.

Orange County Sheriff's Department spokesman Jim Amormino said relatives had asked for welfare checks at the home prior to the discovery of the bodies, but authorities had checked only the outside of the home previously. Sheriff's Lt. Erin Guidic said the bodies were discovered Sunday by a relative who went to the home at about 3:50 p.m. and then called 911.Sheriff's deputies arrived about 4 p.m., Sunday, at 31 Campanilla St., in Sea Pointe Estates, and found the bodies of five adults.The victims, all members of the same family, had been shot, the Orange County Register reported. They may have been dead for two to three weeks, according to the newspaper.KNBC reported that the stench from the decomposing bodies was so bad that workers wore masks as they removed them.The hillside neighborhood has large homes worth $1.5 to $2 million, according to the real estate Web site Zillow.com.Amormino would not speculate on whether the deceased were victims of a murder or murder-suicide, but judging from evidence at the scene, the deaths were "definitely foul play," he said.Authorities would not say if they believed the killer or killers were among the dead, but Lt. Guidic told the Register, "I don't think there is any reason for the community to be fearful."The dead, all found in a first-floor bedroom by a relative Sunday afternoon, were described as a couple in their late 40s or early 50s, an older woman and twin sisters in their 20s.Two handguns found in the house were taken into custody as evidence, authorities said.Autopsies on the bodies were under way Monday, and results were expected on Tuesday.

According to True Crime Web Blog, 31 Campanilla was the San Clemente address for accident reconstruction specialist Dr. Manas Ucar. Ucar's expertise was in vehicle fires, explosions, and seat belts.At one time Dr. Ucar was a professor at Syracuse University in Syracuse, NY. Several newspaper articles about Dr. Ucar were published in the Syracuse Post-Standard in the 70s and 80s. Interesting in light of this story was a small announcement published in that paper in October, 1986. It told of twin daughters being born on September 6 that year to Mr. and Mrs. Manas Ucar of 734 Westscott St.

The OC Register reported today that Fingerprint experts are expected to help identify the badly decomposed bodies of five family members who were discovered in a house here over the weekend, Sheriff’s officials said Monday.The bodies could have been in the house for two to three weeks, said Sheriff’s officials, who believe the deaths resulted from an isolated incident and that there is no danger to the community.Two handguns were found in the house on Campanilla Street in the gated Sea Point Estates neighborhood overlooking the ocean, officials said. The bodies were discovered late Sunday afternoon after relatives went to the house.Sheriff’s Lt. Erin Giudice declined to give the exact street address for the house, but neighbors said it was 31 Campanilla. That house is owned by Manas Ucar, property record show. Ucar is listed as a consulting engineer and an expert witness for accident investigations, according to ca-experts.com – an online California database of expert witnesses.Property records also list a Margaret or Margrit Ucar at the address.The neighborhood, set on a hillside, has large homes worth between $1.5 million and $2 million, according to Zillow.com.Found dead in the house were a man and a woman in their 40s or 50s, twin sisters in their 20s, and an older woman in her 70s or 80s, Giudice said.The middle-aged man and woman were found near a closet off a first-floor bedroom, each with a handgun nearby. One of the guns was registered to the woman, Giudice said; she did not know to whom the second was registered, or whether either gun had been fired.The two younger women and the older woman were found nearby, in the first-floor bedroom. Giudice said there was no sign of a struggle and nothing else in the bedroom appeared to be amiss.The man appeared to have suffered a gunshot wound, Giudice said. One more of the dead might also have been shot, she said, but the bodies were so badly decomposed that investigators were not certain.Autopsies of the five bodies began on Monday morning, but Giudice said it would likely take until Tuesday to get any results, including the identities of the dead. Fingerprint experts are expected to arrive Tuesday to help identify the bodies.The family that owned the house, the Ucars, had twin daughters in their early 20s, said Roxie Weaver, a neighbor.In an interview with KDOC-TV’s Daybreak OC news show, to be aired Tuesday, Weaver said “You could hardly tell (the twins) apart because they always dressed exactly alike.”Grace and Margaux Ucar were 2004 graduates of San Clemente High School, according to a yearbook Weaver showed to KDOC. A Grace and Margo Ucar studied human biology at UC San Diego, where they were due to graduate this year, according to a list posted on the university’s Web site.The twins’ mother had a jewelry store at the atrium in Fashion Island, Weaver said. She said the family had lived in the gated neighborhood for 17 or 18 years and were “very private.”Three relatives – at least two of them brothers – found the bodies on Sunday afternoon after breaking a window to get into the house, Giudice said. The smell was so overwhelming that investigators had to wear Scuba-like breathing masks when they entered.The relatives had called the Sheriff’s Department a few days earlier, asking that deputies swing by the house and make sure everything was all right. The relatives said they thought the family was on vacation.Deputies visited the house on Saturday and checked the doors and windows, but found nothing out of the ordinary, Giudice said. They even called a tow truck to help them get into a car parked outside, but did not find keys or a garage-door opener. The relatives asked them not to force their way into the house.It was the second time this month that deputies had visited the house, Giudice said. On May 14, a neighbor had called to say the family appeared to be away on vacation, and asked that deputies check on the house.Giudice described the people who lived in the house as a “very, very quiet family.”

Dana Woods Home for sale - 25091 Danacoral - $829,000

Just Listed! Looking for a home by the beach? This Large Two Story Home In The Beach Community of Dana Woods in Dana Point Is now for sale for $829,000! It's One of the most popular floorplans in this community with 4 Bedrooms & 3 Baths. It has a Large Open Floorplan with Gracious Size Rooms. Downstairs features a Main Floor Bedroom & Bath & Inside Laundry. Upstairs features 3 Bedrooms Including a large Master Suite. Property Is Located On A Very Quiet Cul-De-Sac Location. An exclusive listing of Beach Cities Luxury Homes: Please Contact Sam Smith at (949) 291-0424 for more information on this home. Please visit http://www.25091danacoral.com/ for more photos of this property. Online brochure at http://www.dana-woods.com/

Understanding Today's Real Estate Market

If you have every wondered how the real estate market got to the point where it is today you need to go back several years to get a perspective on what created today's market conditions. Here's a view of what happened according to the Institute of Luxury Home Marketing.
What created today's market conditions?
The conditions leading to the current credit crunch and real estate slowdown are largely a result of a frenzy of demand - demand created by the global investment market and by individual investor/speculators. Beginning in 2000, the world's pool of investment money exploded. In 2000, there was a pool of about $35 trillion dollars invested or seeking investments. But in the short time between 2000 and 2006, that global money pool doubled to about $70 trillion. This translates to a huge number of cash-rich investors -- from pension funds to sovereign funds - all competing for good investments.
Money to spend!
Pools of mortgage loans (mortgage backed securities) have historically been viewed as safe, desirable investments. So, the growth in investment funds meant demand for these investment vehicles soon outstripped supply. Mortgage companies recognized that if they could generate more loans, they could sell them. Wall Street created new ways to package these mortgages, sell them, and pass the benefits and risks on to investors. In addition, more loans supported the political objective of increasing home ownership.
At first it seemed like a win-win. Mortgage money fueled home ownership. The lenders made money, Wall Street prospered and the risk to investors was evaluated based on historical data showing low loan default rates in the U.S. The problem was that in the rush to make more loans, lenders' underwriting requirements lipped. What lenders call "liars loans' became common. These loans required no verification of income or assets. The lender took your word that you had a job and that your income and assets were what you said they were. They simply checked your credit score and made the loan. Adjustable rate loans, interest-only loans, and other loans previously used for special situations, went main stream and were often misused.
This flood of cheap, easy money (designed to produce the maximum number of loans) attracted small investors who decided to join the home buying party. In 2004, a less than terrific stock market caused many investors to look for alternative investments. The California, Florida, Washington D.C. markets (plus a few other major markets) were attractive locations for investment due to strong population growth, healthy job markets, and good overall economic prospects. Investors swarmed into these markets under the assumption that money invested in residences would generate higher returns than the stock market or other investment options. They were right. However, in lock step with investors, came swarms of speculators (we're defining speculators as investors who really couldn't invest without special financing.) The low underwriting standards allowed them into the market.
The demand created by these two groups created a buying environment in these targeted markets where flipping became the norm. It ceased to matter whether a property would cash flow or even be rented. There were quick profits to be made. Return-on-investment was high. Strong demand allowed investors and speculators to contract for a property with a small deposit and sell the property at a profit prior to closing. Others bought, held briefly, and resold for more money. Price appreciation soared with the demand. Developers and builders followed the money and inventories began to rise.
2005: The frenzy moved to new markets
By 2005, many savvy small investors felt the top markets of 2004 offered less opportunity and they looked for new markets where economic fundamentals were good and prospects for home appreciation were strong. In short, they wanted to duplicate the smart investments of 2004 in new markets. This shift or "spillover" into new markets like Phoenix/Scottsdale (AZ), Las Vegas (NV), Reno (NV), Seattle (WA), and Cape Coral (FL), created new demand in these markets. Speculators followed, as did builders and developers. Second home buyers also jumped into the fray, adding to the demand. Government home ownership programs encouraged those at the bottom of the economic pyramid to buy. Money was fueling the market. Homeowners who didn't want to sell, refinanced instead using the high valuations on their homes to take out cash. Home equity was used like cash from an ATM machine to fuel consumer purchases contributing to a more robust economy. The total number of loans soared.
During 2005, almost 40% of all home buyers were investor/speculators or second home/vacation buyers (27.7% & 12.2% respectively). The difference between the two is primary intent. Investors were looking for return on their investment, while second home buyers' primary motivation was to use a property as a residence. Appreciation soared in these spillover markets in 2005. For example, Phoenix/Scottsdale prices jumped almost 40% in 12 months.
This was not a normal market, nor one which thoughtful observers would expect to continue. Bubbles were being formed. However, the housing boom was an economic engine and everybody wanted on board. Anyone looking closely at the situation should have seen trouble on the horizon. But, consumers were getting dream homes, lenders and Wall Street were raking in profits, home ownership was growing, industry job creation was strong, old statistics promised the investments were safe, and regulators, must have been dozing.
2006: The real estate market slowed down
By 2006, some homeowners began having difficulty making their loan payments as loans ballooned or rates clicked up. When lending practices began to tighten in 2006 and some loans had significant rate adjustments, there were fewer qualified buyers and more available inventory, so market conditions changed. Many buyers fund themselves with properties they couldn't afford and loans that were upside down - more was owe on the properties than they were worth. There were fewer investors pursing residential investments and those that were out there shifted their target markets looking for new opportunities for good returns. Speculators began to fall out of the market.
In 2006, 36% of buyers fell into the investor/speculator or second home buyer category. The percentage of investors had declined to 22%, while the percentage of second home buyers had increased to 14%. Despite the overall slowdown, there were still some markets with good appreciation (investor/second home buyer demand, a booming oil business and Katrina relocations all being important factors). Top appreciation rates in 2006 were about half of what they'd been in 2005. Overall, national home sales slipped 10.8% in 2006, compared to the previous year. However, mortgage securities were still a hot commodity.
2007: The slowdown continued
By 2007, the downturn in housing had gained momentum. Lenders were facing a secondary loan market which was becoming a bit more selective about loan purchases. Money was getting tighter. Job losses and other economic issues in markets like Cleveland and Detroit contributed to the slowdown. By the end of the year, The National Association of Realtors reported that the housing market was off by 12.8% compared to 2006 (which, remember was already down about 10% compared to 2005). The new home market had suffered even more, falling a whopping 26%, according to the National Association of Home Builders.
2008: Credit Crunch
2008 brought a serious "credit crunch." The creative packaging of loans into new forms of mortgage securities, (which had fueled the market by keeping money flowing for home investment) suddenly became a more visible problem. As buyers defaulted, the value and marketability of the mortgage securities became questionable. The financial market took a closer look at these securitized mortgages and realized that ratings based on old underwriting standards were irrelevant and the risks were significantly higher than projected. Defaults and foreclosures soared, home inventories rocketed up, and home prices softened. Available money dried up and the financial market face liquidity and solvency issues. The bubble had burst. The loan frenzy was over, leaving an industry questioning how to deal with the resulting problems.
So what's ahead? With money tighter, home inventories high, an economy that is either in or on the brink of recession, a weak U.S. dollar, and lower demand for housing, it seems safe to assume that the short term economic news is not good for residential real estate. We have not yet seen the full extent of problems in the housing market and may soon have to deal with similar problems with auto loans and credit card debt. It will probably take the rest of 2008 and all of 2009 before we work our way out of the housing downturn.
The luxury market continues to perform well
It's not all doom and gloom. The top of the market continues to be healthy. Many of the country's most affluent zip codes are still enjoying price appreciation. Recent research by The Harrison Group for American Express revealed that the affluent view today's real estate market as an opportunity. In fact, those who earn at least $500,000 annually not only see an opportunity; they plan to buy residential real estate in the next 12 months. Of the 40% who report buying plans, the majority say their planned purchase will be a second or third home. This demand will be supplemented by wealthy international buyers who view our residential properties as "on sale" and are continuing to purchase in many major markets.

Bottom line - the market overall is soft and will be for awhile; however, the top of the market is out performing other segments.

Doom & Gloom All The Way To The Bank

As Reported In This Month's Issue of Dream Homes Magazine, San Diego Issue, La Jolla Homeowners Gained 315% in the Last Decade. Did you know that in the slums of some rust belt cities affected by major manufacturing job losses, such as Detroit, the federal government is selling homes for as little as $1? You can’t even call them “homes,” really – they are the skeletons of homes that have been vandalized and looted and occupied by squatters in neighborhoods that aren’t safe even in broad daylight. And yet those homes – and foreclosed homes bought back by lenders who simply want to recoup the amount still owed on the mortgages and short sales by people who want to avoid foreclosure – are thrown into the mix when the powers that be decide what the national average home price is.

That’s why it’s absurd that the mainstream media is alarming the public about the housing market when it reports facts such as that the national average price has declined by 6.45 percent to $201,000 in the last year; alarming both potential homebuyers and home sellers into becoming paralyzed and doing nothing. “Nobody is buying, nobody is selling,” is the mantra of the mainstream media. Well, mainstream media, you’re a major part of the problem with the huge fall in confidence out there with your national numbers and your sob stories about people who are being foreclosed on…mostly people who didn’t do their due diligence when purchasing a home, did not read or understand their loan documents, were lied to by their mortgage broker or lied about their own incomes and bought way more house than they could realistically afford – the excuses go on and on.
And second, mainstream media, you are wrong. People are continuing to buy and sell in upscale communities – such as the San Diego County coast, Orange County coast, Westside L.A., Silicon Valley, and Seattle – just as they always have, because business, outside the financial, real estate, and construction sectors, is booming. In addition, most of these upscale area homes are actually appreciating in price, not depreciating…again, just as they always have. To demonstrate this, we took a look at one community, La Jolla. The average price of a La Jolla house in 1977 was $118,700. In 1987, the average had jumped 409% to $485,900. In 1997, the average increased another 157% to $763,500. In 2007, the average price in La Jolla had appreciated another 315% to $2,408,900.

The average of those three huge percentage jumps is 294% per decade. Using that figure, we predict the average price will be more than $7 million in 2017 and more than $20 million in 2027.
The most important point to take away from this article is this: All real estate is local…and not just by city but by neighborhood.
Now let’s look at stocks versus real estate. Even stock market cheerleader The Wall Street Journal had this to say recently: “The stock market is trading right where it was nine years ago. Stocks, long touted as the best investment for the long term, have been one of the worst investments over the nine-year period, trounced even by lowly Treasury bonds.”

Bottom line: Buying real estate in an upscale community is still your best investment. Homebuyers and sellers need to take a longer view; years, not months or days. Compare the lack of growth in stock prices with the growth displayed by La Jolla over the past decade.

Newport Crest Condo For Sale- 20 Kamalii, Newport Beach, CA

The Housing Crisis Is Over?

As Reported In Today's Opinion section of the Wall Street Journal "The dire headlines coming fast and furious in the financial and popular press suggest that the housing crisis is intensifying. Yet it is very likely that April 2008 will mark the bottom of the U.S. housing market. Yes, the housing market is bottoming right now.
How can this be? For starters, a bottom does not mean that prices are about to return to the heady days of 2005. That probably won't happen for another 15 years. It just means that the trend is no longer getting worse, which is the critical factor.
Most people forget that the current housing bust is nearly three years old. Home sales peaked in July 2005. New home sales are down a staggering 63% from peak levels of 1.4 million. Housing starts have fallen more than 50% and, adjusted for population growth, are back to the trough levels of 1982.
Furthermore, residential construction is close to 15-year lows at 3.8% of GDP; by the fourth quarter of this year, it will probably hit the lowest level ever. So what's going to stop the housing decline? Very simply, the same thing that caused the bust: affordability.
The boom made housing unaffordable for many American families, especially first-time home buyers. During the 1990s and early 2000s, it took 19% of average monthly income to service a conforming mortgage on the average home purchased. By 2005 and 2006, it was absorbing 25% of monthly income. For first time buyers, it went from 29% of income to 37%. That just proved to be too much.
Prices got so high that people who intended to actually live in the houses they purchased (as opposed to speculators) stopped buying. This caused the bubble to burst.
Since then, house prices have fallen 10%-15%, while incomes have kept growing (albeit more slowly recently) and mortgage rates have come down 70 basis points from their highs. As a result, it now takes 19% of monthly income for the average home buyer, and 31% of monthly income for the first-time home buyer, to purchase a house. In other words, homes on average are back to being as affordable as during the best of times in the 1990s. Numerous households that had been priced out of the market can now afford to get in.
The next question is: Even if home sales pick up, how can home prices stop falling with so many houses vacant and unsold? The flip but true answer: because they always do.
In the past five major housing market corrections (and there were some big ones, such as in the early 1980s when home sales also fell by 50%-60% and prices fell 12%-15% in real terms), every time home sales bottomed, the pace of house-price declines halved within one or two months.
The explanation is that by the time home sales stop declining, inventories of unsold homes have usually already started falling in absolute terms and begin to peak out in "months of supply" terms. That's the case right now: New home inventories peaked at 598,000 homes in July 2006, and stand at 482,000 homes as of the end of March. This inventory is equivalent to 11 months of supply, a 25-year high – but it is similar to 1974, 1982 and 1991 levels, which saw a subsequent slowing in home-price declines within the next six months.
Inventories are declining because construction activity has been falling for such a long time that home completions are now just about undershooting new home sales. In a few months, completions of new homes for sale could be undershooting new home sales by 50,000-100,000 annually.
Inventories will drop even faster to 400,000 – or seven months of supply – by the end of 2008. This shift in inventories will have a significant impact on prices, although house prices won't stop falling entirely until inventories reach five months of supply sometime in 2009. A five-month supply has historically signaled tightness in the housing market.
Many pundits claim that house prices need to fall another 30% to bring them back in line with where they've been historically. This is usually based on an analysis of house prices adjusted for inflation: Real house prices are 30% above their 40-year, inflation-adjusted average, so they must fall 30%. This simplistic analysis is appealing on the surface, but is flawed for a variety of reasons.
Most importantly, it neglects the fact that a great majority of Americans buy their houses with mortgages. And if one buys a house with a mortgage, the most important factor in deciding what to pay for the house is how much of one's income is required to be able to make the mortgage payments on the house. Today the rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage is 5.7%. Back in 1981, the rate hit 18.5%. Comparing today's house prices to the 1970s or 1980s, when mortgage rates were stratospheric, is misguided and misleading.
This is all good news for the broader economy. The housing bust has been subtracting a full percentage point from GDP for almost two years now, which is very large for a sector that represents less than 5% of economic activity.
When the rate of house-price declines halves, there will be a wholesale shift in markets' perceptions. All of a sudden, the expected value of the collateral (i.e. houses) for much of the lending that went on for the past decade will change. Right now, when valuing the collateral, market participants including banks are extrapolating the current pace of house price declines for another two to three years; this has a significant impact on the amount of delinquencies, foreclosures and credit losses that lenders are expected to face.
More home sales and smaller price declines means fewer homeowners will be underwater on their mortgages. They will thus have less incentive to walk away and opt for foreclosure.
A milder house-price decline scenario could lead to increases in the market value of a lot of the securitized mortgages that have been responsible for $300 billion of write-downs in the past year. Even if write-backs do not occur, stabilizing collateral values will have a huge impact on the markets' perception of risk related to housing, the financial system, and the economy.
We are of course experiencing a serious housing bust, with serious economic consequences that are still unfolding. The odds are that the reverberations will lead to subtrend growth for a couple of years. Nonetheless, housing led us into this credit crisis and this recession. It is likely to lead us out. And that process is underway, right now.
Mr. Moulle-Berteaux is managing partner of Traxis Partners LP, a hedge fund firm based in New York

In Depth: How Low Will Real Estate Go?

In A Recent Forbes.com article, the national real estate market remains bleak--in some neighborhoods vacant homes outnumber those that are occupied and sellers are being forced to lower asking prices in a bid to lure bargain hunters--it's assumed that when housing dips to a point where buyers think it represents a bargain, they'll buy back in.
The problem is many of the markets that experienced steep 2007 price drops are still a long way from recovery. There is a silver lining reported in the San Diego market (read below).

That's based on a Moody's Economy.com report prepared for Forbes.com. It predicts that 2008 isn't going to be any gentler than last year on slumping markets like Los Angeles, Sacramento, Calif., Las Vegas and Tampa, Fla., where market weakness is expected to cause 10% to 25% drops over the next year.
Moody's model incorporates inventory levels, job growth or loss, and the availability and cost of credit based on current mortgage rates and the Federal Reserve's Senior Loan Officer Survey, which asks lenders about their mortgage standards.
The model also measures home buyer expectations on a market-by-market level, based on an 18-month moving average of home prices. The more sharply prices fall, the more likely buyers are going to stay out and wait for a bottom; in a quickly accelerating market, buyers are more likely to jump in, expecting future home price increases.
Falling Figures
Price drops result from a convergence of factors including overbuilding and speculating and rapid price increases.
But large-scale job loss has the most potent effect, note Eric Belsky and Daniel McCue, economists at the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies. Markets can overheat, overexpand and digest flippers and overexuberant builders, but housing prices are most likely to fall when people lose their paychecks.
Belsky and McCue studied housing downturns from 1980 to 2004 and discovered that the most likely cause of housing price declines were spikes in unemployment. Consider the industrial cities of Cleveland and Detroit, which have lost jobs steadily since 2000 and now post unemployment rates of 6% and 7.7%, respectively, well above the national average of 5.1%. Of the 10 cities on our list of cities experiencing the greatest price drops, they are the only two where prices are lower than in 2000.
Surprised? Don't be. While prices are falling, they are, for the most part, higher than earlier this decade. In 2000, Inland Empire prices, for example, were $138,560. Moody's has Riverside-San Bernardino, Calif., home values declining another 23% this year, to $291,590.
"In a normal housing market, we have ratios that you qualify for a certain amount of house at your income level," says Anthony Sanders, a professor of finance at Arizona State University. "Since banks have tightened credit, we're starting to revert back to those lending standards, and prices are going back to reflecting a ratio of income and median house value."
Of course, these price increases are largely because of new development and bloated McMansions--and not necessarily of normal appreciation. Between 1980 and 2000, home values consistently ran 3.7 times the median family's income in San Bernardino-Riverside, but by 2006 that figure swelled to a multiple of 7.6. If home prices return to the area's historic growth rate, Inland Empire prices would balance at $200,000 in present dollars.
Bottom line: "The continued decline," says Sanders, "is going to be very problematic for homeowners--but also for secondary investors."

In Pictures: Top 10 Markets With Sharpest Declines

In Los Angeles, Calif. the expected year-end median home price: $471,320 with a Percent drop: 17%. Prices in Los Angeles nearly tripled from 2000 to 2006, going up 161% to $575,550 from $217,220. Income growth did not match that rate. The median home price in 2000 was 4.7 times the median family income, but by 2006, home prices were 10 times the median income level, making L.A. the least affordable housing market in the country.

In San Diego, Ca, the expected year-end median home price: $471,300. Percent drop: 18.7%
There's a silver lining in San Diego's slumping market. Though the city is experiencing steep price declines, transactions have started to pick up over the last three months, reports Radar Logic, a New York real estate research company. This is a sign that buyers are starting to re-enter the market, which is expected to help slow price declines.