
Thursday, July 31, 2008
Cypus Shore Ocean View Property: 4016 Calle Louisa - $2,999,000 - Exclusive San Clemente Gated Community with Private Beach Access!

Short Sale and Home Foreclosure Debt Cancellation Information
This provision applies to debt forgiven in 2007, 2008 or 2009. Up to $2 million of forgiven debt is eligible for this exclusion ($1 million if married filing separately). The exclusion doesn’t apply if the discharge is due to services performed for the lender or any other reason not directly related to a decline in the home’s value or the taxpayer’s financial condition.
The amount excluded reduces the taxpayer’s cost basis in the home. More information on claiming this exclusion will be available soon.
The questions and answers, below, are based on the law prior to the passage of the Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act of 2007.
Monday, July 28, 2008
Magnifcant 6,000 Square Foot Waterfront Home with Boat Dock - Weekly Rental - 16989 Edgewater, Huntington Beach, CA
Luxurious Weekly Rental. This Custom French Estate in Huntington Harbor accomodates 18 people with a 60' foot boat with strking views of the water & ocean. Expanisve floorplan with dramatic entry way with 45 foot ceilings. Renting this property will be the most unforgetable vacation you will ever have. Water & Sunset View from the Living, Dining, Kitchen, Master Bedroom & Bath, 2nd Family Room & Patio and a Huge Rooftop Deck with Expansive Views of the Ocean and Perfect for Entertaining. The master bedroom suite opens up to a balcony looking directly out at beautiful Huntington Harbor. Private Elevator with access to all 3 levels & private front & back balconies. The most impressive room in this home is the waterfront great room. It combines towering ceilings, with a huge bar, fireplace, pool table, family room, and dining room. The great room area alone is 2000+ square feet. The couches can be moved in this room to create a perfect area for a dance floor if you have a special event.$7,000/week and $350 cleaning fee. Call Sam Smith for available dates. House sleeps 18 people comfortably.
Tuesday, July 22, 2008
Online Real Estate Search Surpasses All Other Media
Friday, July 18, 2008
O.C. Home Prices Rise For 1st Time In 7 Months In June
July 16th, 2008, 9:22 am · posted by Jon Lansner / O.C. Register columnist
DataQuick’s final stats for June show the median home-selling price at $495,000, a 2% increase above May — though pricing is still down 23.3% vs. a year ago. That’s when the current all-time high of $645,000 was set.
We chose to note the monthly price increase, certainly a modest one, because it’s the first time price have increased month-to-month since November. Even with steep discounting, Sales remain sluggish: June buying was 26.9% below a year ago.At the local level, only 6 of 83 O.C. ZIPs saw improved pricing vs. a year ago. (The ZIP-by-ZIP analysis of OC Resales for June is HERE!)
Friday, July 11, 2008
Price Reduction: 34 Marana - Sea Pointe Estates, San Clemente, CA - $1,995,000

Tuesday, July 1, 2008
Sales Trends For Orange County, CA - Condo Sales Under $500,000 Are Up - Investors Are Back In The Market!
Here Are All The Sold Units for Orange County, CA over a 12 month period from May 2007 to May 2008. The Red Markings Show Sales in Single Family Homes & the Blue Markings are Condo's Sales. Bottom chart shows all price ranges and Top chart shows solds in the under $500,000 price range. Notice the increase in SFR sales in the under $500,000 range. Investors are coming back into this market and picking up the bargain basement prices on condo's under $500,000. This is a great time to pick up great buys!Monday, June 30, 2008
New Listing - 2111 Via Teca, San Clemente, Ca 92672 - $759,000!!
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Short Sale!!! Looking for an Ocean View home in San Clemente? This property features Ocean & Catalina Views from both levels In This Exclusive Gated Commnunity of Marblehead. Prime Location With Breathtaking View From The Master Bedroom & Downstairs Living, Kitchen & Dining Room. Elegant Hand Crafted Staircase With Formal Dining Room. Huge Master Bedroom With Large Walk-In Closet. Two Stone Fireplace & Newer Appliances & Views Abound. Property features 3 bedrooms & 2 baths with approx. 1900 square feet of living space on a 5,000 square foot lot. Priced at $759,000. This is a great buy for an ocean view home in San Clemente. Interested in learning more about this property? Email: sam@bclh.com or call us at 949-444-1901. A Beach Cities Luxury Homes Listing: http://www.bclh.com
Tuesday, June 24, 2008
Sales Are Starting To Rebound!
But the upward trend is significant. Both investors and homebuyers are on the hunt for the perfect deal. Certainly the raise in FHA loan limits has helped significantly as well as FNMA interest rates remaining at their near historic lows. Should you buy? That’s up to each individual to decide according to their need. But it should be mentioned that THE TODAY SHOW aired a segment on real estate the last week in May. Their conclusion: DON’T WAIT! BUY A HOUSE! This is the same morning show, viewed by millions that 2 years ago proclaimed, “Whatever you do, don’t buy a house right now.” So the fact that they are on board with a bottoming market, is at the very least, interesting.
Saturday, June 21, 2008
Price Reduction: 69 Marbella - Sea Pointe Estates, San Clemente, CA - $1,100,000

Sea Pointe Estates New Listing - 16 Cresta Del Sol - $1,769,000

Saturday, May 31, 2008
Just Sold: 126 Avenida San Dimas - $695,000
Newly Listed Beach House in San Clemente! Property features 3 large bedrooms with 2 baths and bonus office room in garage! Over 1500+ square feet of living space and ideally located next to golf course and easy walk to World Class Trestles surfing beach! Property is currently listed for $695,000 by Sam Smith. Here is a brief description on the propety "Great Value In San Clemente. Large 3 Bedroom Home With Ocean & Golf Course View Deck! Easily Walk To Trestles Beach & State Park & San Clemente Golf Course Is Within Steps Of The Property! Home Features Newer Windows, Roof, Wood Flooring & Closet Organizers. Property Is Completely Fenced In For Dogs & Kids to Play! The Property Has Lots Of Natural Light and The Rooms Flow From One Room To The Next. Bonus Office Room Set Up In The Garage. Interested in seeing this property? Contact Sam Smith at 949-291-0424 or sam@bclh.com
Monday, May 26, 2008
31 Campanilla: Sea Pointe Estates Murder Mystery
SAN CLEMENTE, Calif. -- Sea Pointe Estates. As reported by KNBC, An investigation continued Monday into the deaths of five adult family members whose bodies were found in a home in a San Clemente gated community, authorities said. Click here to see Video.Saturday, May 24, 2008
Dana Woods Home for sale - 25091 Danacoral - $829,000
Wednesday, May 14, 2008
Understanding Today's Real Estate Market
What created today's market conditions?
The conditions leading to the current credit crunch and real estate slowdown are largely a result of a frenzy of demand - demand created by the global investment market and by individual investor/speculators. Beginning in 2000, the world's pool of investment money exploded. In 2000, there was a pool of about $35 trillion dollars invested or seeking investments. But in the short time between 2000 and 2006, that global money pool doubled to about $70 trillion. This translates to a huge number of cash-rich investors -- from pension funds to sovereign funds - all competing for good investments.
Money to spend!
Pools of mortgage loans (mortgage backed securities) have historically been viewed as safe, desirable investments. So, the growth in investment funds meant demand for these investment vehicles soon outstripped supply. Mortgage companies recognized that if they could generate more loans, they could sell them. Wall Street created new ways to package these mortgages, sell them, and pass the benefits and risks on to investors. In addition, more loans supported the political objective of increasing home ownership.
At first it seemed like a win-win. Mortgage money fueled home ownership. The lenders made money, Wall Street prospered and the risk to investors was evaluated based on historical data showing low loan default rates in the U.S. The problem was that in the rush to make more loans, lenders' underwriting requirements lipped. What lenders call "liars loans' became common. These loans required no verification of income or assets. The lender took your word that you had a job and that your income and assets were what you said they were. They simply checked your credit score and made the loan. Adjustable rate loans, interest-only loans, and other loans previously used for special situations, went main stream and were often misused.
This flood of cheap, easy money (designed to produce the maximum number of loans) attracted small investors who decided to join the home buying party. In 2004, a less than terrific stock market caused many investors to look for alternative investments. The California, Florida, Washington D.C. markets (plus a few other major markets) were attractive locations for investment due to strong population growth, healthy job markets, and good overall economic prospects. Investors swarmed into these markets under the assumption that money invested in residences would generate higher returns than the stock market or other investment options. They were right. However, in lock step with investors, came swarms of speculators (we're defining speculators as investors who really couldn't invest without special financing.) The low underwriting standards allowed them into the market.
The demand created by these two groups created a buying environment in these targeted markets where flipping became the norm. It ceased to matter whether a property would cash flow or even be rented. There were quick profits to be made. Return-on-investment was high. Strong demand allowed investors and speculators to contract for a property with a small deposit and sell the property at a profit prior to closing. Others bought, held briefly, and resold for more money. Price appreciation soared with the demand. Developers and builders followed the money and inventories began to rise.
2005: The frenzy moved to new markets
By 2005, many savvy small investors felt the top markets of 2004 offered less opportunity and they looked for new markets where economic fundamentals were good and prospects for home appreciation were strong. In short, they wanted to duplicate the smart investments of 2004 in new markets. This shift or "spillover" into new markets like Phoenix/Scottsdale (AZ), Las Vegas (NV), Reno (NV), Seattle (WA), and Cape Coral (FL), created new demand in these markets. Speculators followed, as did builders and developers. Second home buyers also jumped into the fray, adding to the demand. Government home ownership programs encouraged those at the bottom of the economic pyramid to buy. Money was fueling the market. Homeowners who didn't want to sell, refinanced instead using the high valuations on their homes to take out cash. Home equity was used like cash from an ATM machine to fuel consumer purchases contributing to a more robust economy. The total number of loans soared.
During 2005, almost 40% of all home buyers were investor/speculators or second home/vacation buyers (27.7% & 12.2% respectively). The difference between the two is primary intent. Investors were looking for return on their investment, while second home buyers' primary motivation was to use a property as a residence. Appreciation soared in these spillover markets in 2005. For example, Phoenix/Scottsdale prices jumped almost 40% in 12 months.
This was not a normal market, nor one which thoughtful observers would expect to continue. Bubbles were being formed. However, the housing boom was an economic engine and everybody wanted on board. Anyone looking closely at the situation should have seen trouble on the horizon. But, consumers were getting dream homes, lenders and Wall Street were raking in profits, home ownership was growing, industry job creation was strong, old statistics promised the investments were safe, and regulators, must have been dozing.
2006: The real estate market slowed down
By 2006, some homeowners began having difficulty making their loan payments as loans ballooned or rates clicked up. When lending practices began to tighten in 2006 and some loans had significant rate adjustments, there were fewer qualified buyers and more available inventory, so market conditions changed. Many buyers fund themselves with properties they couldn't afford and loans that were upside down - more was owe on the properties than they were worth. There were fewer investors pursing residential investments and those that were out there shifted their target markets looking for new opportunities for good returns. Speculators began to fall out of the market.
In 2006, 36% of buyers fell into the investor/speculator or second home buyer category. The percentage of investors had declined to 22%, while the percentage of second home buyers had increased to 14%. Despite the overall slowdown, there were still some markets with good appreciation (investor/second home buyer demand, a booming oil business and Katrina relocations all being important factors). Top appreciation rates in 2006 were about half of what they'd been in 2005. Overall, national home sales slipped 10.8% in 2006, compared to the previous year. However, mortgage securities were still a hot commodity.
2007: The slowdown continued
By 2007, the downturn in housing had gained momentum. Lenders were facing a secondary loan market which was becoming a bit more selective about loan purchases. Money was getting tighter. Job losses and other economic issues in markets like Cleveland and Detroit contributed to the slowdown. By the end of the year, The National Association of Realtors reported that the housing market was off by 12.8% compared to 2006 (which, remember was already down about 10% compared to 2005). The new home market had suffered even more, falling a whopping 26%, according to the National Association of Home Builders.
2008: Credit Crunch
2008 brought a serious "credit crunch." The creative packaging of loans into new forms of mortgage securities, (which had fueled the market by keeping money flowing for home investment) suddenly became a more visible problem. As buyers defaulted, the value and marketability of the mortgage securities became questionable. The financial market took a closer look at these securitized mortgages and realized that ratings based on old underwriting standards were irrelevant and the risks were significantly higher than projected. Defaults and foreclosures soared, home inventories rocketed up, and home prices softened. Available money dried up and the financial market face liquidity and solvency issues. The bubble had burst. The loan frenzy was over, leaving an industry questioning how to deal with the resulting problems.
So what's ahead? With money tighter, home inventories high, an economy that is either in or on the brink of recession, a weak U.S. dollar, and lower demand for housing, it seems safe to assume that the short term economic news is not good for residential real estate. We have not yet seen the full extent of problems in the housing market and may soon have to deal with similar problems with auto loans and credit card debt. It will probably take the rest of 2008 and all of 2009 before we work our way out of the housing downturn.
The luxury market continues to perform well
It's not all doom and gloom. The top of the market continues to be healthy. Many of the country's most affluent zip codes are still enjoying price appreciation. Recent research by The Harrison Group for American Express revealed that the affluent view today's real estate market as an opportunity. In fact, those who earn at least $500,000 annually not only see an opportunity; they plan to buy residential real estate in the next 12 months. Of the 40% who report buying plans, the majority say their planned purchase will be a second or third home. This demand will be supplemented by wealthy international buyers who view our residential properties as "on sale" and are continuing to purchase in many major markets.
Bottom line - the market overall is soft and will be for awhile; however, the top of the market is out performing other segments.
Doom & Gloom All The Way To The Bank

And second, mainstream media, you are wrong. People are continuing to buy and sell in upscale communities – such as the San Diego County coast, Orange County coast, Westside L.A., Silicon Valley, and Seattle – just as they always have, because business, outside the financial, real estate, and construction sectors, is booming. In addition, most of these upscale area homes are actually appreciating in price, not depreciating…again, just as they always have. To demonstrate this, we took a look at one community, La Jolla. The average price of a La Jolla house in 1977 was $118,700. In 1987, the average had jumped 409% to $485,900. In 1997, the average increased another 157% to $763,500. In 2007, the average price in La Jolla had appreciated another 315% to $2,408,900.
The most important point to take away from this article is this: All real estate is local…and not just by city but by neighborhood.
Now let’s look at stocks versus real estate. Even stock market cheerleader The Wall Street Journal had this to say recently: “The stock market is trading right where it was nine years ago. Stocks, long touted as the best investment for the long term, have been one of the worst investments over the nine-year period, trounced even by lowly Treasury bonds.”
Bottom line: Buying real estate in an upscale community is still your best investment. Homebuyers and sellers need to take a longer view; years, not months or days. Compare the lack of growth in stock prices with the growth displayed by La Jolla over the past decade.
Wednesday, May 7, 2008
Tuesday, May 6, 2008
The Housing Crisis Is Over?
As Reported In Today's Opinion section of the Wall Street Journal "The dire headlines coming fast and furious in the financial and popular press suggest that the housing crisis is intensifying. Yet it is very likely that April 2008 will mark the bottom of the U.S. housing market. Yes, the housing market is bottoming right now.How can this be? For starters, a bottom does not mean that prices are about to return to the heady days of 2005. That probably won't happen for another 15 years. It just means that the trend is no longer getting worse, which is the critical factor.
Most people forget that the current housing bust is nearly three years old. Home sales peaked in July 2005. New home sales are down a staggering 63% from peak levels of 1.4 million. Housing starts have fallen more than 50% and, adjusted for population growth, are back to the trough levels of 1982.
Furthermore, residential construction is close to 15-year lows at 3.8% of GDP; by the fourth quarter of this year, it will probably hit the lowest level ever. So what's going to stop the housing decline? Very simply, the same thing that caused the bust: affordability.
The boom made housing unaffordable for many American families, especially first-time home buyers. During the 1990s and early 2000s, it took 19% of average monthly income to service a conforming mortgage on the average home purchased. By 2005 and 2006, it was absorbing 25% of monthly income. For first time buyers, it went from 29% of income to 37%. That just proved to be too much.
Prices got so high that people who intended to actually live in the houses they purchased (as opposed to speculators) stopped buying. This caused the bubble to burst.
Since then, house prices have fallen 10%-15%, while incomes have kept growing (albeit more slowly recently) and mortgage rates have come down 70 basis points from their highs. As a result, it now takes 19% of monthly income for the average home buyer, and 31% of monthly income for the first-time home buyer, to purchase a house. In other words, homes on average are back to being as affordable as during the best of times in the 1990s. Numerous households that had been priced out of the market can now afford to get in.
The next question is: Even if home sales pick up, how can home prices stop falling with so many houses vacant and unsold? The flip but true answer: because they always do.
In the past five major housing market corrections (and there were some big ones, such as in the early 1980s when home sales also fell by 50%-60% and prices fell 12%-15% in real terms), every time home sales bottomed, the pace of house-price declines halved within one or two months.
The explanation is that by the time home sales stop declining, inventories of unsold homes have usually already started falling in absolute terms and begin to peak out in "months of supply" terms. That's the case right now: New home inventories peaked at 598,000 homes in July 2006, and stand at 482,000 homes as of the end of March. This inventory is equivalent to 11 months of supply, a 25-year high – but it is similar to 1974, 1982 and 1991 levels, which saw a subsequent slowing in home-price declines within the next six months.
Inventories are declining because construction activity has been falling for such a long time that home completions are now just about undershooting new home sales. In a few months, completions of new homes for sale could be undershooting new home sales by 50,000-100,000 annually.
Inventories will drop even faster to 400,000 – or seven months of supply – by the end of 2008. This shift in inventories will have a significant impact on prices, although house prices won't stop falling entirely until inventories reach five months of supply sometime in 2009. A five-month supply has historically signaled tightness in the housing market.
Many pundits claim that house prices need to fall another 30% to bring them back in line with where they've been historically. This is usually based on an analysis of house prices adjusted for inflation: Real house prices are 30% above their 40-year, inflation-adjusted average, so they must fall 30%. This simplistic analysis is appealing on the surface, but is flawed for a variety of reasons.
Most importantly, it neglects the fact that a great majority of Americans buy their houses with mortgages. And if one buys a house with a mortgage, the most important factor in deciding what to pay for the house is how much of one's income is required to be able to make the mortgage payments on the house. Today the rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage is 5.7%. Back in 1981, the rate hit 18.5%. Comparing today's house prices to the 1970s or 1980s, when mortgage rates were stratospheric, is misguided and misleading.
This is all good news for the broader economy. The housing bust has been subtracting a full percentage point from GDP for almost two years now, which is very large for a sector that represents less than 5% of economic activity.
When the rate of house-price declines halves, there will be a wholesale shift in markets' perceptions. All of a sudden, the expected value of the collateral (i.e. houses) for much of the lending that went on for the past decade will change. Right now, when valuing the collateral, market participants including banks are extrapolating the current pace of house price declines for another two to three years; this has a significant impact on the amount of delinquencies, foreclosures and credit losses that lenders are expected to face.
More home sales and smaller price declines means fewer homeowners will be underwater on their mortgages. They will thus have less incentive to walk away and opt for foreclosure.
A milder house-price decline scenario could lead to increases in the market value of a lot of the securitized mortgages that have been responsible for $300 billion of write-downs in the past year. Even if write-backs do not occur, stabilizing collateral values will have a huge impact on the markets' perception of risk related to housing, the financial system, and the economy.
We are of course experiencing a serious housing bust, with serious economic consequences that are still unfolding. The odds are that the reverberations will lead to subtrend growth for a couple of years. Nonetheless, housing led us into this credit crisis and this recession. It is likely to lead us out. And that process is underway, right now.
Mr. Moulle-Berteaux is managing partner of Traxis Partners LP, a hedge fund firm based in New York
Friday, May 2, 2008
In Depth: How Low Will Real Estate Go?
In A Recent Forbes.com article, the national real estate market remains bleak--in some neighborhoods vacant homes outnumber those that are occupied and sellers are being forced to lower asking prices in a bid to lure bargain hunters--it's assumed that when housing dips to a point where buyers think it represents a bargain, they'll buy back in.The problem is many of the markets that experienced steep 2007 price drops are still a long way from recovery. There is a silver lining reported in the San Diego market (read below).
Moody's model incorporates inventory levels, job growth or loss, and the availability and cost of credit based on current mortgage rates and the Federal Reserve's Senior Loan Officer Survey, which asks lenders about their mortgage standards.
The model also measures home buyer expectations on a market-by-market level, based on an 18-month moving average of home prices. The more sharply prices fall, the more likely buyers are going to stay out and wait for a bottom; in a quickly accelerating market, buyers are more likely to jump in, expecting future home price increases.
Falling Figures
Price drops result from a convergence of factors including overbuilding and speculating and rapid price increases.
But large-scale job loss has the most potent effect, note Eric Belsky and Daniel McCue, economists at the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies. Markets can overheat, overexpand and digest flippers and overexuberant builders, but housing prices are most likely to fall when people lose their paychecks.
Belsky and McCue studied housing downturns from 1980 to 2004 and discovered that the most likely cause of housing price declines were spikes in unemployment. Consider the industrial cities of Cleveland and Detroit, which have lost jobs steadily since 2000 and now post unemployment rates of 6% and 7.7%, respectively, well above the national average of 5.1%. Of the 10 cities on our list of cities experiencing the greatest price drops, they are the only two where prices are lower than in 2000.
Surprised? Don't be. While prices are falling, they are, for the most part, higher than earlier this decade. In 2000, Inland Empire prices, for example, were $138,560. Moody's has Riverside-San Bernardino, Calif., home values declining another 23% this year, to $291,590.
"In a normal housing market, we have ratios that you qualify for a certain amount of house at your income level," says Anthony Sanders, a professor of finance at Arizona State University. "Since banks have tightened credit, we're starting to revert back to those lending standards, and prices are going back to reflecting a ratio of income and median house value."
Of course, these price increases are largely because of new development and bloated McMansions--and not necessarily of normal appreciation. Between 1980 and 2000, home values consistently ran 3.7 times the median family's income in San Bernardino-Riverside, but by 2006 that figure swelled to a multiple of 7.6. If home prices return to the area's historic growth rate, Inland Empire prices would balance at $200,000 in present dollars.
Bottom line: "The continued decline," says Sanders, "is going to be very problematic for homeowners--but also for secondary investors."
There's a silver lining in San Diego's slumping market. Though the city is experiencing steep price declines, transactions have started to pick up over the last three months, reports Radar Logic, a New York real estate research company. This is a sign that buyers are starting to re-enter the market, which is expected to help slow price declines.
Wednesday, April 30, 2008
5505 Costa Escondida - San Clemente, CA 92673
We just listed this great property in the Ridgemore area of Forster Ranch. More information can be found on this property by going to our website: www.bclh.com or email me at sam@bclh.com
Fed cuts short-term rate for 7th time
The Federal Reserve cut its target for the federal funds rate by a quarter-point, from 2.25 percent to 2 percent. The prime rate will fall by a quarter-point, from 5.25 percent to 5 percent. The move spells good news to people who borrow money on loans, such as home equity lines of credit, that are linked to the prime rate. It's not such good news for savers who want to put their money in short-term certificates of deposit.
The rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee has been slashing rates to encourage consumers to borrow, and therefore stimulate the faltering economy. At the beginning of September, the federal funds rate stood at 5.25 percent; since then, the Fed has cut it by 3.25 percentage points. It has been an unusually rapid series of rate reductions, as the Fed has tried to catch up with the economic slowdown brought on by the housing slump.
"Recent information indicates that economic activity remains weak. Although readings on core inflation have improved somewhat, energy and other commodity prices have increased, and some indicators of inflation have risen in recent months. The substantial easing of monetary policy to date, combined with ongoing measures to foster market liquidity, should help to moderate growth over time and mitigate risks to economic activity," according to the Fed announcement.
This rate cut had been expected, with futures markets pricing in a 1-in-5 chance that the Fed would keep rates unchanged, and a 4-in-5 chance of a quarter-point cut. To the extent that anyone expected the Fed to keep rates unchanged, that sentiment stemmed from the inflation picture. As anyone who drives to the grocery store knows, prices for gasoline and food have been skyrocketing and threatening to eventually push up prices for everything.
Typically, rate cuts make inflation worse. That makes the case for holding short-term rates steady. But this isn't a typical situation. Prices aren't rising because the economy is booming; instead, they are rising despite an economic downturn.
"It's a compromise between two equally persuasive arguments," says Richard DeKaser, chief economist for National City Corp. "On the one hand, there's an increasingly legitimate argument that inflation needs to be pre-empted more aggressively." On the other hand, he says, "there is still risk to the economy in terms of weaker growth."
Downward-facing dollarOn the inflation side, DeKaser says, the Fed has been counting on a weaker economy holding wage growth down, which in turn is supposed to put a lid on inflation. By that reasoning, the Fed can continue to goose the economy by cutting rates, and can put off worrying about inflation until after economic growth resumes. But commodity prices are surging and the dollar is weakening in relation to other currencies. Both of those factors exert upward pressure on prices, especially for imports.
By cutting short-term rates while European central banks keep their rates steady, the Fed contributes to further erosion in the dollar's relative value. In turn, foreign companies either raise prices on exports to the United States to maintain profits, or they sell their goods to countries with stronger economies. Either way, through straight-out price increases or through scarcity, foreign-made goods become more expensive in the United States.
Inflation-fighting takes backseatHow do you turn that around? You could raise interest rates, which would eventually make prices of imports more competitive, but higher rates would restrict overall economic growth. Right now, the Fed prefers to stoke the economy by cutting rates again. Inflation-fighting is a secondary priority at the moment.
"The ongoing concerns related to inflationary pressures have to be weighing very heavily on their minds," says Jim Baird, chief investment strategist at Plante & Moran Financial Advisors in Kalamazoo, Mich.
"They've pumped a lot of liquidity into the system, particularly since the beginning of the year, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them take a step back and let this filter its way through the system at this point. They have to look at which of the battles they want to fight -- keep prices in check to a greater degree or reduce the risk of further softening of the economy and at the same time try to provide some liquidity and stabilize the credit markets."
Consumer impactThis rate cut's impact on consumers "is not likely to be very impactful, but in combination with past rate actions, it has quite a bit of impact," says DeKaser. He believes that a lot of this impact will come via reducing the monthly debt payments that some mortgage holders will have to make.
Specifically, rates on home equity lines of credit will go down again, and that will reduce the minimum monthly payments that borrowers carrying balances will have to pay. And declining short-term rates mean less payment shock for some people with adjustable-rate mortgages.
Long-term rates, such as those for fixed-rate mortgages, don't respond directly to the Fed's rate decisions. Instead, long-term rates are guided by inflation expectations. They could go either way, depending on whether the bond market decides whether the Fed's rate policy is too restrictive, too permissive or just right.
The federal funds rate is the target interest rate for banks borrowing reserves among themselves. The discount rate is the interest rate that the Fed charges banks to borrow reserves from the Federal Reserve. The Fed wants to be the lender of last resort: It wants banks to borrow from one another at the federal funds rate before borrowing from the Federal Reserve at the higher discount rate.
Tuesday, April 29, 2008
Is This The Last Fed Cut?
The Federal Open Market Committee meets today through tomorrow (April 29-30) and by now you're familiar with the drill -- they'll cut interest rates. But unlike recent Fed meetings that culminated with aggressive moves of the half-point and three-quarter point variety, the upcoming meeting is poised to produce a comparatively small quarter-point cut.
Exactly what will this mean to consumers? Rates for home equity lines of credit and variable rate credit cards will see further declines, though not all borrowers will benefit equally.
The biggest beneficiaries of the Fed's rate cut campaign -- homeowners facing resets on adjustable-rate mortgages -- will see no incremental benefit from another rate cut. The reason is that yields on Treasury bills that serve as the index for many ARMs moved lower well in advance of the Fed's actual moves as those yields reflect expectations about interest rates in the time that lies ahead. Those T-bill yields have already begun to move higher, reflecting concern about inflation and expectations that the Fed will transition away from further rate cuts. LIBOR rates have also increased notably off their 52-week lows, but for a different reason, as there is still tension in global credit markets amid questions about the accuracy of banks' self-reported funding costs. The bottom line is that another rate cut means nothing to borrowers holding adjustable-rate mortgages.
Savers, I haven't forgotten about you, though it seems the Fed has. While savers have become well-acquainted with the pounding that Fed rate cuts deliver to yields on cash investments, there is a moral victory close at hand. If the Fed cuts by just a quarter-point, and seems willing to move to the sidelines in order to evaluate the health of the economy before acting further, this will mark the bottom for yields on cash.
Although inflation concerns are growing and yields on Treasuries have moved higher, any sustained improvement is unlikely unless the Fed quickly begins to raise interest rates. Frankly, the Fed will have a hard time raising interest rates and imperiling the very ARM borrowers they've ushered out of harm's way with repeated interest rate cuts. Article courtesy of Bankrate.com
Saturday, April 26, 2008
Carl's Jr.'s Founder (Carl Karchner) Summer Estate Is Now For Sale for $8,500,000 in San Clemente, CA
The Spanish Summer Estate of the founder of Carl's Jr. Fast Food Franchise & owner of Hardee's (Carl Karchner who died early this year just shy of his 91st birthday) has hit the market at $8,500,000.4006 Calle Louisa Is An Expanisve Spanish Style Masterpiece Is Located In the exclusive Gate Guard Community of Cyprus Shore in San Clemente. It features 4 bedrooms, 6 baths and over 7500+ square feet of living space on a 16,000+ square foot lot!. The neat thing about this property is that is sits on a large corner lot that overlooks the ocean. It's hard to find such a large lot in this location. The lot is situated on 2 legal lots. The house itself features 2 master Suites, A large living, family & dining room along with a game room & spa!
The exclusive Cyprus Shore community is well known to have one of the most popular and beautiful beaches in all of California. This community features direct beach access to the beach and Is most widely known for the world famous surf break called Trestles. Of course, one can't mention this area without giving reference to the "Western White House" where former President Richard Nixon lived 40 years ago.
Interested in seeing more properties in this area? We have free mls access for all the homes in San Clemente at www.bclh.com/mls.php.
America's Wealthy See Buying Opportunities In Sluggish Real-Estate Market

CHICAGO (MarketWatch) -- Is now a good time to buy real estate? The size of your paycheck likely will play a big part in how you answer that question as reported in a recent Wall Street Journal Market Watch report.
While many average Americans are skittish about the housing market, some of the country's richest citizens see the current conditions as perfect for buying, according to the Annual Survey of Affluence and Wealth in America, released on Tuesday by the American Express Publishing Corp. and Harrison Group, a market research and consulting firm.Seventy-seven percent of the wealthiest people surveyed think real estate presents a "real opportunity" right now. In the survey, "wealthy" meant having discretionary household income of more than $500,000 a year.
And these high-income earners are putting their money where their mouths are: 40% said they are in the market to acquire real estate this year.
The survey was originally conducted late last year with 1,800 people representing the wealthiest 10% of American households. But the more recent figures are from a follow-up survey with a smaller sample of the original participants, conducted last week to ensure the study reflects rapidly changing market dynamics.
Other survey participants are "upper middle class," with incomes between $100,000 and $149,000; "affluent," with incomes between $150,000 and $249,000; and "super affluent," with incomes between $250,000 and $499,000.
The wealthy aren't alone in their belief that the real-estate market represents a buying opportunity: 67% of the upper-middle-class participants also agreed with that statement, as did 72% of the affluent and the super-affluent.
"There are bargains out there ... severe price pressure across the board," said Jim Taylor, vice-chairman of Harrison Group. That said, at the very top of the market, there is an abundance of buyers and that is holding prices steady at that level, he added.
Still, the wealthiest were the most committed to buying soon. Only 17% of upper-middle-class participants said they were in the market to buy real estate this year, while 24% of the affluent and 26% of the super-affluent said the same.
Home sweet second -- and third -- home
Forty-one percent of those in the wealthy category said owning a second home was "almost a requirement" for people of their economic means, according to the survey.
Thirty-three percent of the wealthiest who said they intended to buy this year are now in the market for a second home, and 25% said they are in the market for a finished third home, according to the survey.
"They're treating it as a portfolio play, rather than a recreation play," Taylor said. "They've moved off the notion that it's just pleasure real estate," he said, adding that the wealthy use second homes to help balance their overall investment portfolio.
Recession now, but rebound coming
Seventy-nine percent of the survey's respondents said the country is in a recession now, but 88% said they are confident that property values will eventually rebound. Still, 18% of respondents said the equity in their home is worth less than what they owe.
Many respondents expressed significant anxiety over the recession, Taylor said. That was especially true of the upper-middle-class and affluent groups, he said.
But not everyone is worried about their own financial stability. Taylor said he expects the number of millionaires to increase by another 6% this year.
Passion for home improvement
A separate survey of senior-level executives found that high earners often are passionate about improving their homes -- even more passionate than they are about spending time on the golf course.
Thirty-nine percent of 552 high-level executives said they were passionate about home improvement, compared with 32% who said the same about playing golf, according to a recent survey by Doremus, a business communications agency.
"Home is seen by most as a respite from the world, a place where people feel they can be themselves." said Hope Picker, director of research for Doremus, in a news release. "And high-powered senior-level executives are no exception.
"Golf is a game, but it's another form of competition and, in many cases, it's also a surrogate conference room where business is conducted and deals made. But home, even for many high-level professionals, is a safe haven. In addition, home-improvement projects tend to be both tangible and finite, in contrast to much of their work."
The company recommended that marketers interested in reaching these high-net-worth individuals should target them through publications, broadcasts and online sites that feature decorating and improvement ideas for the home and garden.
Friday, April 25, 2008
In Escrow: 134 W Avenida Barcelona - SW San Clemente By Sam Smith
Another property put into escrow by Sam Smith. This property was located on one of the best streets in Southwest San Clemente. The home features 2 bedrooms/2 baths & approx. 1283 square feet. Here is a brief description on the property "Mid-Century Beach Charmer On One Of The Best Streets In SW San Clemente. Yard Is Completely Gated With White Picket Fence. Living Room Is Light & Brite With Corner Windows. Large Master Suite With His/Her Sinks, Soaking Tub, Separate Shower & Walk-In Closet! Individual Laundry Room Is Adjacent To Garage. Owner Currently Has Set Up Office In Garage But Can Be Easily Taken Down. Great Price & Great Location!"Just Sold - 4100 Costero Risco - Sam Smith of Beach Cities Luxury Homes
Another successful closing by Sam Smith of Beach Cities Luxury Homes. 4100 Costero Risco is located on one of the most beautiful streets in San Clemente. This property is located in the stunning Cantomar Area of San Clemente With Panoramic Views. The property featured 4 bedrooms & 4.5 baths with approx. 3,996 square feet. Beautiful Interior Design touches throught this home with an Incredible Gourmet Kitchen with Granite Countertops that double as Breakfast Bar, Stainless Steel Appliances, Double Oven & Rich Mahogany Cabinets. The Dining room had great views of the Oversized Pool Size Backyard And Opened Up To Formal Living Room. Dramatic Open Wrought Iron Staircase In the Entry way as It Lead You To Upstair Bedrooms. The property had a Very Large Master Suite With Views of The Hillside & Beyond. The Backyard Is Beautifully Landscaped with Center Gazebo Perfect For Entertaining & Relaxation. It was a newer built home finished in 2001. The best part about this home is that it had no Mello Roos Tax! Email sam@bclh.com for more info on this home or any other property in this neighborhoodSea Pointe Estates New Listing - 28 Cresta Del Sol, San Clemente, CA 92672
28 Cresta Del Sol is back on the market in Sea Pointe Estates. If you love Mediternean Design & European Finishes then you will love this property! Listed at $2,150,000 This 4 bedroom/3.5 bath boasts 3,800 square feet on a 10,500 square foot lot. It has great curb appeal and is located on a beautiful single loaded street. Here is a brief description of the property "Straight from the rolling hills of Italy! This custom-built Italian masterpiece was constructed with many components imported from Italy and Europe and assembled with precision and care. Gorgeous views await from each and every room. Main floor bedroom with full bath. Chefs will love not only the gourmet kitchen with high-end applainces, but will enjoy the views while there. The great room has custom built-ins for the entertainment system. Several sets of French doors lead to the large, flat yard or the tranquil views of the canyon and the cool shade off the large patio. Don't miss the wine cellar! Enjoy romatic evenings and a twinkling lights view from the private deck off the master suite with fireplace, luxurious master bath and his and her walk-in closets. Prestigious guard-gate community with pool, tennis courts and clubhouse. Close to fwy access, beaches, shopping and theaters. Come enjoy luxury living near the beach! Listing text & photo courtesy of Coldwell Banker.
Sea Pointe Estates New Listing - 88 Marbella, San Clemente, CA 92672
Just Listed as of 4/23/08! A Brand New Listing Has Just Hit Sea Pointe Estates. This Mediterranean style home features 4 bedrooms & 4 baths & has approx. 4,466 square feet of living space and a huge 11,ooo+ square foot lot with a pool, jacuzzi and spectacular ocean views, wow!Thursday, April 24, 2008
Sea Pointe Estates New Listing - 1 Madrigal, San Clemente, CA 92672
Just listed 4/21/08, 1 Madrigal in Sea Pointe Estates. This is a really great property. I have been to this property several times when owned by the previous owner. If you are looking for a very nice single level home with nice ocean views this is it!Here is a brief description of the property: "Located in the guard gated community of Sea Pointe Estates,this exquisite custom home boasts views of the Pacific Ocean,Catalina Island & Dana Point Harbor. A private gated courtyard leads to this impressive single level design. Interior space includes 5 bedrooms, 5.5 baths plus bonus/media room. The gourmet kitchen is a chef's dream with a center island & breakfast bar surrounded by rich cherry wood cabinetry & granite counters. State of the art stainless appliances include a DCS stove,an additional Kitchen Aid oven,microwave,warming oven,refrigerator & more.The impressive design is enhanced with coffered ceilings,crown moldings,sky lights & 4 fireplaces.The designer flair is enjoyed throughout with additional custom features including travertine, marble,custom closets,surround sound systems, art lighting & camera security system. Designed for entertaining the rear yard includes a sit down BBQ. center, cozy fire ring & spa all perfect to enjoy sunset ocean views. The garage is 4 car." Listing text & photo courtesy of First Team Real Estate.
Interested in Viewing this property? It requires a 24 hour notice to show. Please contact Sam Smith at 949.291.0424 or sam@bclh.com
Tuesday, April 22, 2008
Go Green: Happy Earth Day

Happy Earth Day! We here at Beach Cities are making an effort to be earth friendly. We have recently incorporated DocuSign. Basically, instead of printing all of the numerous documents that are required for a real estate transaction, and then faxing them and having those printed up again on our clients fax machine we are incorporating all documents to be signed online! If you want to save trees, I recommend visiting http://www.docusign.com/ Here is their challenge: We’re challenging ourselves and our customers to save ten million sheets of paper by using the web to sign documents of all types electronically, without paper. Six million e-signatures delivered via DocuSign’s web-based service by Earth Day 2008 will make a real impact.
Every paperless e-signature has an environmental ripple effect. First there are the trees that won’t get cut down and can keep producing oxygen and absorbing CO2 greenhouse gas. Then there’s the prevention of pollution from paper manufacturing and the avoidance of resource use to transport trees and paper by truck or plane. And finally, secure online e-signing eliminates the need for additional planetary impact to print and overnight mail important documents. Listen to thier podcast: Join the eco-challenge! Click Here.


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